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20130115
20130123
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CNBC 65
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 65 (some duplicates have been removed)
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 4:00am EST
irreparable damage to the u.s. economy. >>> and jump t to the top of the ftse 100 after third quarter revenue beat the forecast, burberry had earnings higher than expected. >>> all right. sorted out my mike issues. "worldwide exchange" is slightly different today because we're analyzing the first german gdp numbers. >> and i come to the u.s. where it's all annualized and we stick to the european data and it's quarter on quarter. given the context, we're still working through what all that means. >> exports in november, down 94.1 billion is where we essentially went. 98.4 billion was the october numbers. so exports in november driving down. and that gdp number is worth pulling out. exports for the year, up 4.1%. as far as production is concerned, it was up 2% in november. but the forecast were for it to rise up 1%. it was a very weak october, as well. it was this production and that production number. when that came out, it essentially made people put a pretty fourth quarter in the whole, kelly. what we're trying to do is derive what the annual figure was. >> exactly. and before we get to that
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 7:00pm EST
hours trading. that tells me that the economy is doing better. what is your take? >> i think the economy is more mixed. it seems to me, google hot today and obviously a great tech story and also an advertising tostory. friday, general electric. kind of told us that world economic expectations might be better. is the world better? >> i think it is possible that the eearnings are going to be better. if you look at the bottom of estimates, they were $114 for the s&p -- i'm sorry $120 they are coming down. we suspect they are going to continue to come down. we suspect the corporate earnings are going to come down. i want to add economic stuff to this. today, existing home sales 12.8% above a year ago. existing home sale prices plus 11%. that is progress it was falling at 4%. last week, manufacturing up, capitol goods up. are he ewe estimating the econo? >> clients are asking me about upside risk. nobody is asking about upside risk. i think the question is, is it in the price already. >> all related to the housing ready. for, the fed is easy. we all know the fed is easy because it has a feder
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 4:00am EST
the world. china's economy rebounds into the fourth quarter, beating expectations and snapping seven straight quarters of slow growth. >>> the british government says there's no indication that the hostage crisis is over in algeria as the reports emerge that doesz may have been killed in a rescue operation. >>> investors are unnerved by big spending plans in 2013. plus, glencore pushes back its mega merger by weeks as the regulatory commission begin necessary south africa. >>> welcome to the program. i want to bring you some breaking news in terms of energy prices. the iea is out with its latest 2013 oil report. it expects u.s. oil demand to remain flat on the year. but the headline here does appear that the market, according to the iea language here, is tighter than we thought. all of a sudden, the market looks tighter than we thought. that's the main message we're getting from the organization. it says the world forecast to consume about 90.8 million barrels per day in 2013, up by about a quarter of a million since december. despite seeing the u.s. slight to even negative, seen as
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 7:00pm EST
's my challenge to everyone. instead of just a 2% economy, why can't we do so much better and get to a 4 or 5% growth economy? president obama has still not adopted progrowth policy. here's another thing. i'm not the only one who wants the president and congress to significantly cut spending. i mean, significantly. it would be progrowth and no more tax hikes by the way. spending and the debt are the top issue of concern for voters. look, these heinous mass murders are not about weapons. question -- why isn't anyone tackling the really tough issue that may be the root causes of these atrocities? such as broken families, such as the absence of fathers who set examples for their sons? such as the loss of faith in our schools? such as our homes and our culture that have lost faith as well. tonight, we are going to talk about the family values breakdown in america. "the kudlow report" begins right now. another key point tonight. for most of the history, america drew at 3.5% per you. the last dozen years however, we have dropped below 2%. and the so-called obama recovery is just a tad above th
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 6:00am EST
's stories. the big one, china aes economy rebounding in the final quarter of to 12. growth to 7.9%, up from 7.4% the appreciate quarter. economists do caution, though, that a chinese recovery is likely to be gradual and weak to drive a global rebound without improvement in the u.s. and europe. also, the fate of dozens of hostages in algeria is still unknown. the algerian military stormed a gas field where the workers were being held. six people if not more are believed to have been killed. >>> a team of experts from boeing and the aviation experts are arriving in japan today. today the japan transportation safety board released a picture of the battery. they said the battery was blackened and carbonized, had a bulge in the middle and weighed 11 pounds less than normal. >>> and the interview everybody is talking about, i stayed up late to watch it, lance armstrong telling oprah that he cheated. >> in all seven of your tour de france victories, did you ever take banned substances or blood dope? >> yes. i view the situation as one big lie that i've repeated a lot of times. i'll spend the rest
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 4:00pm EST
as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it should be. in 2012 the u.s. oil production was
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 3:00pm EST
and spending cuts which could embroil the economy and stock market in a new round of uncertainty but it kicks that can down the road, so is that why stocks are a bit tempered today? we'll take a look at that. the dow right now up 12 points. we are flirting with those five and a half year highs, 13,610 and change would be that five and a half year high so we're just pleau that right now. the nasdaq down another eight points at the moment at 3127 and technology among the groups suffering today. the s&p, again, here we go again. any positive close for the standard & poor's 500 would be another five and a half year high for the s&p. let's take a closer look at the markets in today's closing bell exchange with our guests. andres, you and i were talking about the markets earlier. what do you think? getting ahead of ourselves with the rallies we've had so far this year. >> earnings matter, and we're in earnings season. to a certain extent we might see some consolidation in the short term. if we look at valuations, still looks attractive or trading 13 times future earnings, 12 months ahead. the avera
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 3:00pm EST
hurting the economy, delaying hiring plans, capital investment plans and really everything from auto dealers in cleveland to farmers down in texas have cited the fiscal cliff as a major concern. that's something that's influencing their decision making right now. >> you would expect that given the fact that everybody is in lockdown mode as we wait to figure out what our tax rates are going to be, where the spending cuts are going to be, that it is going to impact the economy. my question is how much of an m impact going to see earnings? are they going to get hit? >> that's the key to the whole thing. as we said, the beige book numbers, when they came out there were cents. see earnings coming out, we will see comments and none are going to be positive. none will be excited about the future, and stock prices and multiples expand when people feel possible about the future. going to impact them? numbers might come in spot on. the whisper numbers, everyone is looking for, meaning hoping the numbers are a little bit bitter. i think as numbers come in, we'll start to see very little moveme
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 7:00pm EST
the key message of deep spending cuts, not the message that deep spending cuts will help grow the economy and help create jobs. . . but i did hear no budget, no pay, aimed at democratic senators but then deemed unconstitutional, and an extension of the debt ceiling for about three months which is okay. . it doesn't really go to the heart of the matter. we're going to have a report on this whole story in just a moment. . meanwhile, better news, the stock rally continues up 54 points on the dow, 161 points for the week. get this, a 35% gain in the broad s&p 500. . just since early october 2011. that's right. it's like a stealth rally. it keeps on moving. we'll talk to a leading investment ceo a bit later in the program. . first up, in williamsburg, virginia, today, house republicans have agreed to take up the plan next week to extend the debt ceiling with some conditions. i think that's boring and uninspiring. let's go to the source of this cnbc contributor robert costa. . . i think it's boring, boring, boring. you tell why this is a great. are not attached to this proposal. very three mont
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 3:00pm EST
is the economy is getting better. the equity markets have improved. standard & poor's 500 was up. the s&p 500 was up 13%, 14%, up 4% year to date. >> right. >> the economy is starting to show good signs. as long as we don't have it derailed in washington. >> i was just going to ask. >> i think things could get better. >> could washington still screw this up? >> absolutely. i don't think it takes much to have another debt ceiling debate and debacle would not be helpful here. i think there's so much minon the sidelines between the retail investor and the corporate america today, has so much money to invest. get rid of some of that uncertainty and this economy will go. i'm quite bullish about that. >> can you provide guidance for this year without knowing exactly what washington is going to come up with? >> we gave a range. we don't give guidance. we give a range on a conservative side and optimistic side. we're right inside that range. had a great start to the year. we're ahead of consensus. we her record asset gathering and record guidance sales and great control. had a great start. >> had a g
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 4:00am EST
stronger in the second half. >> for the economy? i think we have to divorce the economy from the market. >> have we been price thatting that out? >> we have to be clear that markets are totally different from the economy. for the markets, we're looking at 2% scenario. scenario a would be similar to 2012 where i think actually the economy doesn't do that well. the first half is difficult. second half is a bit better. we've still got the fed printing 5 billion a month. we could see a rerun of 2012. maybe mid to single high digit returns. >> did you get exposure of citi to bofa here? >> we wouldn't be. we're taking a little bit of money off the table or indeed i think we did. the level of implied volatility makes perfect sense here. >> we'll leave it here for now. thanks very much. over to you, ross. >> kelly, thanks for that. so we are just about an hour and 20 minutes into the trading day here in europe. you can see advancers just about outpace decliners by a ratio of 6 to 4 and we're up near the high point of the session which has dragged us back into prospect on that particular indices
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 7:00pm EST
including leadership quite honestly, larry, on the economy because a bad economy, unfortunately, doesn't give us the resources we need to allow for better interventions, let's say in mental health. let's look at a fellow democrat, the democrat from colorado who came out with a proposal to stream line their processes for identifying people who may be dangerous to themselves and others and also bolster mental health measures and initiatives. >> lars larson you're going to pose everything. what do you want? >> here's the problem. the president shamelessly surrounds himself with children and used them as props. ben seems uninformed on this. this young man didn't buy his firearm. he stole it from his mother after murdering his mother. the president's proposed bill to congress to ban the manufacture and sale of new sporting rifles, semiautomatic rifles and large capacity magazines wouldn't have done a darn thing to stop sandy hook or aurora, colorado. it would have done nothing. >> let me ask you this. if it were in effect -- now i don't even know, there's issues about pistol grips and there
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 12:00pm EST
, nasdaq in the red as well. china fights back after seven straight quarters of slowing growth its economy shows signs of strength. john rutledge on the stocks you should be buying right now. the rematch. not satisfied after their big debate on intel dr. j. and joe are back to battle it out again. what really is the best play right now? but first our top story the next leg for stocks, will it be up or down? the dow has been up as i said six of the past seven days but with a huge week of earnings ahead can the run continue? we're trading today's market action with pete and john. pete, up or down? where is the market going? >> you know, obviously the easy answer would be we've had this huge run. i think we'll see a pullback now. i don't think that is the case. when you look at what the earnings have given so far, look at the financials holding up still above the 17 level on the xlf i'm looking at next week as a huge week of earnings. obviously plenty of names out there that are going to be very important to the next leg higher. so now we've got to get that next leg higher. looking at the vol
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 4:00am EST
in 2014. the moves do follow heavy pressure from shinzo abe despite reflation and a flagging economy. but the yen actually settled higher with some economists. look at that. that is suggesting they ended up almost 1.2% above the dollar. there's questions whether the 2% dollar stated can be achieved. now there's plenty more on the boj's inflation packed with the government live. hi. >> hi, kelly. the bank of japan and the government issued a joint statement that set a 2% inflation target today replacing its current 1% price. from japan's monetary policy has shifted into unexplored territory. the boj agreed to try and hit the 2% target as quickly as possible rather than over the medium to long-term. but the target will probably be difficult to meet. forecasts released by the bank showed that the consumer price index will rise to just 0.9% in the fiscal year starting in 2014. boj officials said that the 2% target will be possible if the country's growth potential is improved by further government reform. the joint statement is binding for both the government and the boj calling on both
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 6:00pm EST
to the strength of the global economy no, airline can afford to cancel an order with boeing. airbus sold out for years. and you can't get back in the queue if you cancel. you will be stuck with older, less fuel efficient planes to deal with a higher priced oil environment when you can fill every seat have you and then some. boeing, the single greatest short of our lifetime, frankly, actually rallied 92 cents today. a bear's worst nightmare, which, of course, is there for the single best possible dream. for a bull. now, let's extrapolate the story. we were suppose supposed to have a horrendous, hideous economy. those guys real downers. why? washington gridlocked, confidence down, horrible down there. president, republicans, care less about the economy. supposed to be crushed, absolutely annihilated about worries of the upcoming debt ceiling and laid to waste by the end of the tax holiday. rich people stopped dead in their tracks by new tax hikes. one so steep we were supposed to switch to peanut butter and jelly sandwiches rather than dining at three-star restaurants. pass the skippy, keep th
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 7:00pm EST
and the health of the u.s. economy as hostages. >> they will not collect our ransom in exchange for crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leveraged to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they better choose quickly because time is running short. >> now, house speaker john boehner responded quickly saying house republicans will do the right thing. they will be responsible, they will meet america's obligations and make sure the government does not shut down. he tried to take that specter off the table. but this is a very tough fight that's getting more and more problematic, larry, because the president said he's going to break the habit of crisis-driven fiscal negotiations. if he's going to succeed in that, somebody is going to have to break and it may have to be soon because treasury secretary geithner said this afternoon we could hit the debt ceiling and exhaust all the extraordinary measures he's been taking as soon as one month from now. >> you know, john, 2010, 2011, the 2012 he neg
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 3:00pm EST
of the issues, regulatory issues and housing was really good today. the economy is feeling better and investors aren't feeling bad. earnings numbers pretty solid so people are voting with their dollars right now. things are positive. >> for how much longer, mike? you have to admit, a pretty good run for a while now. are we due for a pullback of some kind? >> due for a rest or a pullback, would i say, but i don't think it's anything that looks like it has to be too dangerous. in addition to all the things michael is talking about, the market's refusal to go down when everybody else is saying it's overbought, probably contributed to the fact that we have this give up move higher. chatter today that maybe the republicans won't go down to the wire and contest the debt ceiling increase. all these things have swept away a lot of nagging concerns and the next thing to worry about is people don't know exactly what the next thing to worry about s is. >> let's turn it over to you. what are you expecting throughout the rest of this earnings season. we haven't had any major blowoffs, but we're not talking
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 2:00pm EST
's economy descending and even the rising sun is rising again and the guy that called the housing crash, can kyle bash, exclusively here with his bets right now. herb is here too and he has seven stocks he says are at risk. we will challenge him a bit. john mcafee alive and he will ask why terrorist were here in central america and we lay out the 10 commandments mandy, of the fed. >> congratulations. you have now clocked up the third straight gains of dow and s&p to begin the new year even though of course today we are looking soggy and mixed. if the dow can stay positive where it is right now, just by a whisker, it'll be up for the seventh time in eight sessions. let's get to bob and rick santelli. bob pisani, what are we doing on friday? we are just kind of doing nothing right now. meandering around. but we have been up for three straight weeks. >> i'm happy guy. we are in the heart of the earning season. big industrial companies are all reporting, something important is happening. individual companies are moving on their own earnings reports and not moving the all around markets around. l
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 7:00pm EST
of taxes and spending. if this economy were growing, you would have a substantially lower budget deficit. gentlemen we will welcome you back another time. >> there is at least one state in the northeast that gets it. natural gas shale and it is pennsylvania and the republican governor tom corebet is about to join us. he picks up support from chuck schumer who didn't get an apology for the anti-israel statements. if we were growing at 5% instead of 2% we would be close to a balanced budget today. i'm kudlow we will be right back. at 1:45, the aflac duck was brought in with multiple lacerations to the wing and a fractured beak. surgery was successful, but he will be in a cast until it is fully healed, possibly several months. so, if the duck isn't able to work, how will he pay for his living expenses? aflac. like his rent and car payments? aflac. what about gas and groceries? aflac. cell phone? aflac, but i doubt he'll be using his phone for quite a while cause like i said, he has a fractured beak. [ male announcer ] send the aflac duck a get-well card at getwellduck.com. >>> here is the g
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 4:00am EST
about the u.s. economy, the turning in the house prices, europe, for example, these things will make an extraordinary amount of money even if they require more capital because banks are extremely leveraged institutions. and you only need a small amount of top line growth for them to make a lot of profits. >> if you to pick u.s. banks versus the rest of the world, what do you like for 2013? >> it bizarre thing is that last year everybody was upset about the masters of the universe and were talking up their retail and sort of consumer arms because credit losses were falling. interestingly, this year i suspect bank with more exposure to independent banking will probably do a lot better much to the chagrin of politicians i suspect. why is that? the m&a pipeline's looking all right. u.s. economy's looking slightly better. and we're still pre-basal 3. >> we'll leave it there. lex on wex, can we use that? >> yeah. >> is that all right with you? >> fine by me. >> lex on wex. >> stuart, thank you very much. we will be talking later about divestment. merger and acquisition activity this year d
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 9:00am EST
sensitive to the economy commodity in the world. ip took out a lot of capacity. ip is a genius. this company's had an unmitigated run. capacity's constrained, prices going up, 95% of capacity. that is like -- you can put the price increase after price increase, that says the economy is much stronger than expected. this is the first commodity to raise prices big when things get better. they're raising prices consistently. very bullish. >> that is a great, great tell. still more to come this morning. get ready for an ipo hat trick, sunco energy partners, norwegian cruise lines, all making their debuts this morning. stick around to see how they open for trading. the opening bell is just a few minutes away. what are you doing? nothing. are you stealing our daughter's school supplies and taking them to work? no, i was just looking for my stapler and my... this thing. i save money by using fedex ground and buy my own supplies. that's a great idea. i'm going to go... we got clients in today. [ male announcer ] save on ground shipping at fedex office. ♪ [ indistinct shouting ] [ male announcer ] t
CNBC
Jan 20, 2013 7:30pm EST
of the economy. i think the question is how much will these issues from washington, whether it's the debt ceiling, the sequester, the lingering uncertainty over the long-term budget picture, undermine confidence, lower the valuations of u.s. companies because people just have less confidence in the long-term trajectory. >> and jared, president obama starts his second term next week. his inauguration, of course, monday. what has he done right? the last four years, in your view? what could he have done better or has he done wrong? >> four years ago right around this time when i was a member of the administration's economics team, i was remembering the juxtaposition of great hope and expectations and the real horror of what was going on in macroeconomy. gdp contracting at 9%. i think the president came in and hit very hard and broke the back of the great recession a lot sooner than people expected. certainly the financial markets were reflated much more quickly and at less expense than people expected. pretty soon, really by the second half of 2009, gdp was growing, and it's been growing since. i th
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 6:00am EST
market economy and grow the business in a slow growth world economy. again, reflecting slow growth overall. i think they had strong numbers when it came to agency. some of those numbers up by 18%. volume was driven by agriculture with robust tales in latin america and a strong selling to the north american selling season along with increases in asia pacific for performance materials, electronics and communications and performance chemicals. >> the stock was higher a year and a half ago or so. but in terms of the last year, it's getting -- it's sort of the in the mid point of the trend. coming back, at least trying to get back to where it was earlier. all-time highs are at about 58. >> in corporate headlines, more developments in the boeing story. there are indications now that the dream liner could stay grounded longer than initially anticipated. investigators turning to the maker of the lithium ion batteries that are used in the planes. that is gsyausa. investigators visited the batterymaker yesterday. shares of boeing have started getting to the low end of the range after some ch
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 12:00pm EST
see underlying economy. >> hello jeremy segal. >> i'm not as bullish as he is. >> multiple expansion. >> absolutely. >> that's why he thinks we'll hit record highs. >> insurance is cheap. you go into dr. j's world. >> our next guest is making a startling prediction on where stocks are about to go. tom fitzpatrick is global head of citi fx technicals. joins us live. welcome. good to have you on. although i'm not sure many people watching now want to hear your prediction. >> it's on leah prediction. >> where do you think we're going? >> in the short term as your previous commentators we have some lags left. the s&p we just moved to this new high above 4075. very similar to the way we traded in 2007 and 2000. i wouldn't be surprised if there's a little bit of lag here and maybe up towards 1495 for the reason, momentum. momentum came in the first move up from last year and we're seeing a loss of momentum similar to what we saw there. also we're seeing in the big picture, overlays on the dow jones that we're in the levels that we believe we'll peak out in. while there's left on the top si
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 11:00am EST
for the markets and the economy? >> i hope so. if what the republicans are talking about is let's have this debt ceiling skirmish every quarter, every three months, nobody is going to like that, especially the markets, and for very good reason. if what they're say something we're not going to play debt ceiling leverage anymore, which has obviously been the president's position, that's good. my feeling is it's probably the latter. i think there are enough kind of economic grown-ups in the room to really control the folks who have threatened to use that kind of leverage. >> but the senate has not had a budget resolution pass through the senate in, what is it, four years now? >> april, 2009. >> that feels to me pretty shameful frankly. i don't know the politics and i'm not exactly sure why that's the case, but isn't that a critical step in bridging the gap and making progress on these issues where you can not go to these sort of extra legal things like using the debt ceiling as leverage, but you can use the process as it is intended to be used. >> i agree, and it's an interesting quid pro quo for t
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 4:00pm EST
of the economy. a discussion about the fed earlier in terms of the beige book numbers. what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of bothers me though is i'm a little bit worried that this coping is flipping over to complacency. the vix is now at a six-year low, and it tells me that the market is discounting 100% probability that we get through the debt ceiling without any trouble. that seems too high to me. >> so do you think the market is expecting that? i mean, when would you expect a big change in terms of the interest rate scenario? >> in terms of the interest rate scenario, probably nothing this year. i mean, we're at least a couple years away fr
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 4:00pm EST
now that the global economies are recovering. if you heard schlumberger and ge today, both companies on their conference calls, talked about china being probably the best area for activity 2013. and i think that's very exciting, and that's the reason -- one of the main reasons why you want to be buying this market if you do get a little bit more volatility over the next week. in addition, i think the u.s. continues to do pretty well, too. so i like the market, and on volatility we're buying it. >> so, we've got an economic story that seems to be better from the macro point of view, dean. and by the way, i should point out this market rocketed at the end of the day, settled up 53 points on the dow jones industrial average. what does the macro story look like you to right now? >> the macro story is considerably better than it's been over the past couple of years, pes legs with the european contagion story. not done but off the table for now. obviously things like the debt ceiling and the dysfunction in washington are reasons for concern, but i think one of the factors that's underpinni
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 9:00am EST
. that means the lending is not going on. we're still at increasingly a low economy. if you buy back the dell, you don't go to the banks anymore. you find other sources of money. i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim cramer and david faber at the new york stock exchange. stocks had a pretty nice day yesterday. the s&p closed at five-year highs. we are looking to the down decide this morning. the dow looking to lose about 62 at the open. the picture in europe, a couple of downgrades for gdp forecasts from both the german government and world bank. italy is down by 1.5%. road map this morning starts off with the banks and earnings. jpmorgan higher. goldman sachs at 18-month highs. >> japan airlines gro
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 4:00am EST
in the u.s., in germany and to an extent in the uk. >> the trouble is for all of those economies maybe some of the european ones are under pressure by the government. but the problem is, if you look at issues in the u.s., they're just so low. there's no ability to cut in the long-term. how do you push through entitlement reform and address those issues, especially if there's no market pressure right now? >> my sense is that you don't. i don't understand how that can be achieved and, therefore, i suppose what i struggle with is what solution can the government find? the bank of japan, if you monetize the debt in a low inflationary environment, is this a free lunch? >> right. >> in the uk, it has turned out to be a free lunch. would it in japan? possibly, yes, and, therefore, i wonder if these issues ever will be addressed. >> and what's so interesting, you're seeing these bizarre rates happening in a monetary policy. we feel like we're in a whole new regime where people feel like it doesn't matter at all. wondering if it matters at all how much you spend and borrow in these situations. how d
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 12:00pm EST
of whether where it is was. i like the deutsch call. unless we have a lot of trouble with our economy here, judge, which i don't think we're going to have, i think this continues to work and works back into the mid-40s by the end of this quarter. >> talk to me, weiss, about some airlines. they have been doing incredibly well. lately here is ual and lcc. >> they were early in upgrading the airlines and the airlines used to be like drinking beer. you rented it. you didn't own it. now you've got the airline business changed completely. so the fundamentals are very good. not as competitive as they used to be. they know how to allocate their capital. the merger between u.s. air and american is in the stocks. that will make it even better. i disagree. i think you hold them and buy on dips. >> let's go to jackie deangeles. jackie? >> that's right, scott. platinum is selling above gold for the first time in ten months. what is the best bet for 2013? rachel is at the cme in chicago and anthony in new york. is gold just moving up today on platinum's move? >> definitely gold is moving up on platinum.
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 1:00pm EST
. >>> onto the debt ceiling. the deadline approaching so it washington on the verge of killing an economy that many people think is actually experiencing a very nice little rebound? we're going to ask loan ceo jim tisch when "power lunch" returns. ♪ [ male announcer ] how do you turn an entrepreneur's dream... ♪ into a scooter that talks to the cloud? ♪ or turn 30-million artifacts... ♪ into a high-tech masterpiece? ♪ whatever your business challenge, dell has the technology and services to help you solve it. >>> four days before the inauguration the latest nbc wall street journal poll is out with the breaking news. john harwood in washington. john? >> tyler, we've just got one question. the full poll comes out tonight but this shows you some of the difficulty president obama is going to face with this gun control issue he's pursuing. look at the public image of the national rifle association. it shows you it's a pretty tough target. at three different decision points after tragedies, columbine they had a net negative rating. at the giffords shooting it was better in early 2011
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 2:00pm EST
bite out of the deficit over ten years. what's the reason for the stimulus today? to get the economy growing faster. >> would you be one? >> unlike the congress, the fed has done quite a lot and there isn't very much more the fed could do. i would certainly be with chairman bernanke. i was happy when they switched over, which is likely to have a bigger impact on the economy. the other thing i've been urging on the fed but they're not doing it is cut the interest rates by holding idle excess reserves in the hope that some of that will go into the economy. >> we have to leave it there, but thank you very much for your thoughts today. let's bring in don peebles of the peebles corporate. don, great to have you on the set today. >> good to be here. >> how does it play out? >> in the end it's a lot of drama about a profungtsry performance. the government needs to stand behind its credit. that's one of the benefits as a government, we get low rates because our credit is good. it's a shame we're spejd all this time. we spent much more than we take in. and we can't continue do that. we even d
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 6:00pm EST
of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being catalysts galore. bob in florida, bob >> it is fwrat to tais great to. south florida by way of teaneck, new jersey. i'm calling about krispy kreme donuts. i sold it and forgot about it and now it seems like they reinvented themselves. the stock is up 70% since mid november and still trading. even talk about take over. >> i believe there is a turn going on. it has been ages since i looked at it. the last time i looked at it i chipped my tooth. i will do more work on it and see where this one can stop. nobody does know. robert in massachusetts, robert. >> booyah jim, hail from massachusetts. >> fantastic. >> there you go pats i don't k
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 3:00pm EST
did. the fact is we still have a good fundamental backdrop. the economy is expanding. it's not contracting or growing. value sheets are strong and valuations are very attractive so what is there not to like? >> you're our resident skeptic today, and i would point not to the normal averages that we quote every day, but look at the dow transportation average which could close at an all-time high today. the transportation companies, often a leading indicator for the economy. if they are doing well. chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you mean by that, later on in the year? what's going to be the upset later on in the year? >> there's a
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 4:00pm EST
for the economy. what are you seeing? >> well, 2012 was the year housing really made its statement at its back. it's not back to where it was, but surely we can now say housing has turned the corner so that's a good thing for the economy. when housing does well, everything else seems to do well. quite a multiplier effect. in fact, there's been no recovery in this country of size or stability without housing participating or leading. energy is doing pretty well. we see some manufacturing, but to be honest about it, the recovery is still not as strong as it needs to be. there's still too much uncertainty, and there needs to be more clarify for the economy to take off. >> a really important point because i think businesses are, you know, shaping up and are currently in great shape in terms of cash on balance sheets. >> terrific. >> so they have the potential to put money to work, although that uncertainty factor is really keeping them from doing so. >> in fact, corporate balance sheets have never been better. liquidity, cash, we've grown 300 billion in core deposits in four years. you know, consumer
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 1:00pm EST
that president obama put them in saying they are holding the u.s. economy hostage. they are saying no. we are holding the senate hostage it a debt limit increase, that's what they have to do and we will see how far they get with the proposal. if we do a short term extension of the debt limit we are going to make it be clean without conditions. and this is what the back and forth is going to be in the parties over the next couple of weeks. >> let's talk a little bit about two other major deadlines here. does this have any impact whatsoever john as far as can you see on the the impending so-called sequestering, which i believe kicks in sometime in the next six weeks or so. and then in late march, on the idea that the government will run out of money. there will be no authorization to spend anything more and the government could functionally shut down. is that involved here at all? >> not in a formal sense. but of course all of this is linked together, what the spending plans are to come up with cuts to avoid the budget sequester which neither party wants because it affects it in is indiscri
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 6:00am EST
the debt ceiling or put the u.s. economy st. at risk. it's tuesday, january 15th, 2013 and "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning, everybody. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin. we've been watching the u.s. equity futures and at least at this point you can see they do look like they're indicated to open a little lower. right now, dow futures down by about 16 points below fair value. the s&p futures are about 2 points below fair value. we have some different nebs going on at the top of the screen than we do on that fair value board. we'll check on that, as well. >>> dell is said to be in talks with private companies in reports of a possible guyout. the journal says jpmorgan is involved in the negotiations. dell shares have been soaring near an eight-month high on first word of this news yesterday. you can see up about close to 2% to the premarket sales. 64 is the last dip. in other technology news, facebook is holing a press conference today. no word on what the big announcement will be. you've heard a lot of analy
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 9:00am EST
that is indeed worrisome. however, we are seeing some pretty good signs in the economy right now, so we're hopefully optimistic that they'll continue. and last thing anybody who's bet against america has proved it's a losing bet in the past. we're very bullish on this country. >> steve, thanks so much for your time. thank you for joining us first on cnbc. >> thank you. >>> interesting debate. meantime, goldman sachs making waves with the bonus pay joits. we'll get that in a moment. after the break, david faber's exclusive with mel karmazin. he's here to give us his very first interview since stepping down as the ceo of sirius xm. we're back in a couple of minutes. mine was earned in djibouti, africa, 2004. the battle of bataan, 1942. [ all ] fort benning, georgia, in 1999. [ male announcer ] usaa auto insurance is often handed down from generation to generation because it offers a superior level of protection and because usaa's commitment to serve the military, veterans, and their families is without equal. begin your legacy. get an auto-insurance quote. usaa. we know what it means to s
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 6:00am EST
, housing is better, you want to be invested in this economy for the next three to five years because that's where you're going to make money. you're not going to make money in fixed income. you're not going to make money focusing on only pure dividend stocks that are 5%, 6%. you're going to have to have companies that can grow the top lines, that have the ability to shepherd capital and really can take the consumer that is now in a better shape than the u.s. and now is getting better overseas to grow your company. >> okay. so you're talking mostly about multi national companies or -- >> multi nationals and secular growth companies. >> both? >> both, absolutely. but you want good companies with management that are just not going to sit there and do financial engineering and say, oh, we borrowed more money and because our cost of debt is lower than our dividend and we can do that. that party is over. that game is done. you really want the companies that i think if you want to beat the market and we think actually the market is going to have -- is going to grow, gives you a look at how much
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 1:00pm EST
. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well being of the people is not eleven rafrmged to with used. it is not a bargaining chip. and they'd better choose quickly because time is running short. >> representative lynn jenkins is a republican from kansas. she is also the house republican vice chair. i guess basically i should ask you to respond to the president. >> well, i wish the president would stop campaigns and come over to the hill and have a conversation with us. republicans are willing to work with this situation which is our out of control wasest watt errand spending. >> you'd like to have him -- he sayed yesterday he has a nice pick imevery year. he said this in the wall street toufrpd. it's wrong to think of it as ooh long stamp. those days are onner. that debt limbet is one of the last steps toing tagt tachlkts there are a lot of americans who would 'fwree with that analysis. >> senatorial obama afwleeed with those comments. claiming it was a lack of leadership. i think that is true today. and you have to review how we find ourselves in
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 2:00pm EST
, very scary situation. >>> we are moments away from the fed's latest read on the economy. here is how the markets are doing. right now the dow lost its strength, down 23 point on the trading session. s&p is dead in the water all hour and nasdaq is actually up about 10 points on the trading session, ty? >> sue w, watch this story in algeria. that does it for "power lunch." thanks for joining us today. >> and "street signs" begins now with breaking news on the fed and economy. >> that's right, sue and tyler. we have boeing in crisis. we have housing on the mend and five-star stock picks. we've also got the very latest on a scary story in algeria where militants say they have taken 41 people hostage, include something americans, at a bp oil field. well get to that in a moment but let us get to breaking news for the fed and how they are performing and get to steve liesman. steve? >> the federal reserve district says economic growth is modest to moderate in all 12 districts. that's how we normally lead but that's not the most important. what is important is the talk about how fiscal uncert
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 2:00pm EST
-- >> the state of the economy of their customers, you don't want it lose sight of that. a year earlier and they show you three years back. just knocking the cover off the ball. so a great, i think, window into part of the economy. >> pretty much an indicator of the entire -- >> absolutely. >> in a good way or bad way, though? >> in a bad way. >> not in a good way. >> okay, we have to leave it there. herb, thank you so much. >> a lot of what you show -- i don't want to see. >> gentlemen. >> you may leave now. before it gets nasty. anyway, housing hopium. the 2012 housing symposium. 1.8 million foreclosures in 2012. that's down from the year before. so has the foreclosure crisis peaked? has it peaked, daren? >> it has on a national basis. if you look that level, we're down 36% from the peak, which was in 2010 when we saw 2.9 million properties with foreclosure filings. however, if you start looking at the level, it is a different story. >> how severe is the problem still? >> well, it's severe in the state that takes longest to close. it includes florida, new york, new jersey, connecticut
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 5:00pm EST
being where they are. if we see any growth in the economy and rates start to move, that is a potentially a lot of juice for these earnings. >> right. >> and to me, yes, they've rallied a long way from the fourth quarter, but still, they are so cheap. >> i was going to say, where do you come in on valuation here? it's cheap to its peers, its chart is fantastic. the valuation doesn't say sell. but -- >> i think it says hold. i mean, you -- the valuation in terms of p.e. is really not expensive, tangible book, we're so used to things trading below tangible book. maybe a little higher. it doesn't seem to me like, wow, you are really paying through the nose. you're not. bank of america, you're getting it well below tangible book value, citibank, same thing. so, i'm still staying with the -- staying with the bet for sure. >> so, a buyer. you? >> i'd be a buyer, but specifically goldman sachs. on this desk, we talk about levels in the name. it was 119, it was 130. now it's 140. if it holds this level, it's 150. it has not disappointed. this bank has outperformed 99% of the space. but another na
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 2:00pm EST
of the american economy, as of late 2012, there have been several civil suits filed against major wall street financial firms, but not a single criminal prosecution. in this edition, we look back at the 2008 financial crisis and the failure of government regulators to prosecute those who might be criminally responsible. later, lehman brothers bankruptcy investigator anton valukas shares his findings on the collapse of the giant investment bank where no senior official has ever faced charges in the biggest bankruptcy in u.s. history. but first we begin with a nine-month 60 minutes investigation looking for wall street cases that might have prosecutorial merit. in december 2011, steve kroft reported on two such cases. we begin with a woman named eileen foster, a former senior executive at countrywide financial, one of the epicenters of the crisis. >> do you believe that there are people at countrywide who belong behind bars? >> yes. >> do you want to give me their names? >> no. >> would you give their names to a grand jury if you were asked? >> yes. >> but eileen foster has never been asked, an
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 6:00am EST
are and as much as we can tell about the economy and financial sector, we will be obsessed with jamie dimon, if he didn't get as much of a bonus as normal because his pristine reputation because of the wale slipping -- thing we can find as members of the media. >> $6 million trade on a balance sheet of -- >> i don't know how much they made in spite of that. a lot. >>> speaking of the bank, another -- >> look who's here! >> and dressed normally, too. >> can we get the man a chair? he can't sit -- ♪ >> we thought you were trying on different zweaters. on a day like this, what is the right look for a young, happening, dashing -- >> what -- what -- >> you have time. don't do this to viewers. it's not that important. did you not get make-up? >> no. he didn't. >> look at -- this is natural beauty. >> you didn't shave -- you really think you need to be here that much that you can't get make-up? >> absolutely. >> taking one for the team. >> all right. >> speaking of this -- stay on us, please. morgan stanley will take -- you can get powder or something if you want. just headlines -- >> the women didn't
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 9:00am EST
by superstorm sandy. >> dupont 2013, a cautious year with the slow growth world economy. how worrisome are those comments from the economic bellwether. >> j & j exceeds estimates. the full year forecast a bit below the streets, as investors pay close attention to new ceo alex gorsky. >>> the dow component reporting fourth quarter numbers of 38 cents. that was well below estimates. verizon said the results were impacted by superstorm sandy. we're just getting details now, david, on activations on things like the iphone, 6.2 million, not too shabby. >> the problem was not necessarily activations, carl. the key is simply that margins came in even worse than had been anticipated. this, after the company already guided them down a bit at the consumer electronics show a couple of weeks back. and there, of course, you're talking about operating koose i higher than anticipated. investors may be a little concerned today when you take a look at that chart there. now, listen, to carl's point, they're adding a lot of customers. they're activating a lot of devices. we talk often about the subsidy for the app
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 4:00pm EST
of google and ibm. an indication of the strength of the global economy. yes, obviously, the fed is juicing this real, but cash on balance sheets is at record highs. unemployment seems to be stabilizing, and have you nowhere else to go, if you go to cash, what are you making, nothing? >> nothing. >> go to bonds, nothing. >> might as well put it in the mattress. >> exactly. >> watching google there. waiting for those numbers. not out yet. estimates coming down. rich peterson what, role does technology play in this market right now? how important are they? >> it's always the audio. >> in terms of the s&p capital estimates, looking for a 1.4% decline and earnings in the fourth quarter. however, you look at the low point for the earnings decline for the sector we're seeing upturned in the first quarter, second quarter 2013. however, i think, you know, we had a big rise with many m & a deals last year in the sector. investors should not be ignoring the risk out there. so far the s&p 500, so many headwinds out there in terms of what the fed may be raising rates some time. >> okay. so you see tech
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